Moral Values swings the election essays

Moral Values swings the election essays On November 2, 2004, the American people were faced with one of the most important elections of our time. Previous days before Election Day, it seemed as if John Kerry had the popular vote. In the aftermath of the elections, President Bush won the Electoral College vote as well as the popular vote. Before and after the elections, many polls where conducted on which was the major factor for choosing a candidate. It turns out that moral values was a hidden but a major factor. To understand moral values, one must analyze what issues fall under this category and why it cost John Kerry the title of becoming President. Conservatives will say that a same-sex marriage goes against moral values. President Bush is even trying to ban same-sex marriages nationwide. John Kerry on the other hand, supports gay marriages and would leave the constitutional amendment for the states to decide. In exit polls conducted by The Associated Press, 79% of Bush voters choose moral values. If moral values were the major factor among Bush voters, this would imply that about half of the people in this country are against gay marriages. Kerry would have the disadvantage on this issue. Another issue that is brought up when talking about moral values is abortion. Although they have always stirred up controversy, it can not be compared to the Partial Birth Abortion. It was banned in this country by President Bush. Kerry, however, was against banning the partial birth abortion. Kerrys position of being personally opposed to abortion but supports abortion rights is the very thing that contradicts his personal view. This is one of the main reasons why many Americans believe he is a wishy-washy. A candidate should stand firm in what he or she believes, not try to fit into mainstream culture. Finally, the way the candidates projected their faith was also important. Ke ...

Moral Values swings the election essays

Moral Values swings the election essays On November 2, 2004, the American people were faced with one of the most important elections of our time. Previous days before Election Day, it seemed as if John Kerry had the popular vote. In the aftermath of the elections, President Bush won the Electoral College vote as well as the popular vote. Before and after the elections, many polls where conducted on which was the major factor for choosing a candidate. It turns out that moral values was a hidden but a major factor. To understand moral values, one must analyze what issues fall under this category and why it cost John Kerry the title of becoming President. Conservatives will say that a same-sex marriage goes against moral values. President Bush is even trying to ban same-sex marriages nationwide. John Kerry on the other hand, supports gay marriages and would leave the constitutional amendment for the states to decide. In exit polls conducted by The Associated Press, 79% of Bush voters choose moral values. If moral values were the major factor among Bush voters, this would imply that about half of the people in this country are against gay marriages. Kerry would have the disadvantage on this issue. Another issue that is brought up when talking about moral values is abortion. Although they have always stirred up controversy, it can not be compared to the Partial Birth Abortion. It was banned in this country by President Bush. Kerry, however, was against banning the partial birth abortion. Kerrys position of being personally opposed to abortion but supports abortion rights is the very thing that contradicts his personal view. This is one of the main reasons why many Americans believe he is a wishy-washy. A candidate should stand firm in what he or she believes, not try to fit into mainstream culture. Finally, the way the candidates projected their faith was also important. Ke ...

Moral Values swings the election essays

Moral Values swings the election essays On November 2, 2004, the American people were faced with one of the most important elections of our time. Previous days before Election Day, it seemed as if John Kerry had the popular vote. In the aftermath of the elections, President Bush won the Electoral College vote as well as the popular vote. Before and after the elections, many polls where conducted on which was the major factor for choosing a candidate. It turns out that moral values was a hidden but a major factor. To understand moral values, one must analyze what issues fall under this category and why it cost John Kerry the title of becoming President. Conservatives will say that a same-sex marriage goes against moral values. President Bush is even trying to ban same-sex marriages nationwide. John Kerry on the other hand, supports gay marriages and would leave the constitutional amendment for the states to decide. In exit polls conducted by The Associated Press, 79% of Bush voters choose moral values. If moral values were the major factor among Bush voters, this would imply that about half of the people in this country are against gay marriages. Kerry would have the disadvantage on this issue. Another issue that is brought up when talking about moral values is abortion. Although they have always stirred up controversy, it can not be compared to the Partial Birth Abortion. It was banned in this country by President Bush. Kerry, however, was against banning the partial birth abortion. Kerrys position of being personally opposed to abortion but supports abortion rights is the very thing that contradicts his personal view. This is one of the main reasons why many Americans believe he is a wishy-washy. A candidate should stand firm in what he or she believes, not try to fit into mainstream culture. Finally, the way the candidates projected their faith was also important. Ke ...

Sample Size for a Margin of Error in Statistics

Sample Size for a Margin of Error in Statistics Confidence intervals are found in the topic of inferential statistics.   The general form of such a confidence interval is an estimate, plus or minus a margin of error.   One example of this is in an opinion poll in which support for an issue is gauged at a certain percent, plus or minus a given percent. Another example is when we state that at a certain level of confidence, the mean is xÌ„ /- E, where E is the margin of error. This range of values is due to the nature of the statistical procedures that are done, but the calculation of the margin of error relies upon a fairly simple formula. Although we can calculate the margin of error just by knowing the sample size, population standard deviation and our desired level of confidence, we can flip the question around. What should our sample size be in order to guarantee a specified margin of error? Design of Experiment This sort of basic question falls under the idea of experimental design. For a particular confidence level, we can have a sample size as large or as small as we want. Assuming that our standard deviation remains fixed, the margin of error is directly proportional to our critical value (which relies upon our level of confidence) and inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size. The margin of error formula has numerous implications for how we design our statistical experiment: The smaller the sample size is, the larger the margin of error.To keep the same margin of error at a higher level of confidence, we would need to increase our sample size.Leaving everything else equal, in order to cut the margin of error in half, we would have to quadruple our sample size. Doubling the sample size will only decrease the original margin of error by about 30%. Desired Sample Size To calculate what our sample size needs to be, we can simply start with the formula for margin of error, and solve it for n the sample size. This gives us the formula n (zÃŽ ±/2ÏÆ'/E)2. Example The following is an example of how we can use the formula to calculate the desired sample size. The standard deviation for a population of 11th graders for a standardized test is 10 points. How large of a sample of students do we need to ensure at a 95% confidence level that our sample mean is within 1 point of the population mean? The critical value for this level of confidence is zÃŽ ±/2 1.64. Multiply this number by the standard deviation 10 to obtain 16.4. Now square this number to result in a sample size of 269. Other Considerations There are some practical matters to consider. Lowering the level of confidence will give us a smaller margin of error. However, doing this will mean that our results are less certain. Increasing the sample size will always decrease the margin of error. There may be other constraints, such as costs or feasibility, that do not allow us to increase the sample size.